President
Separate certified elections. Candidates and turnout differ. Not a forecast.
- 2020 general: Donald J. Trump, winner margin 33.3 ยท race total 362,024 ยท source
- 2024 general: Trump and Vance, winner margin 36.3 ยท race total 363,659 ยท source
Arithmetic gap in winner margin, earliest to latest: 3 points. Not a forecast.
U.S. House ND-AL
U.S. House districts follow the map in effect for that election. A margin gap is not shown as a swing across those lines.
- 2020 general: Kelly Armstrong, winner margin 41.4 ยท race total 355,799 ยท source
- 2022 general: Kelly Armstrong, winner margin 24.6 ยท race total 238,586 ยท source
- 2024 general: Julie Fedorchak, winner margin 38.9 ยท race total 359,787 ยท source
U.S. Senate
Separate certified elections. Candidates and turnout differ. Not a forecast.
- 2022 general: John Hoeven, winner margin 31.4 ยท race total 240,140 ยท source
- 2024 general: Kevin Cramer, winner margin 32.9 ยท race total 364,327 ยท source
Arithmetic gap in winner margin, earliest to latest: 1.5 points. Not a forecast.